Meanwhile, in the Pacific, Category 3 Hurricane Sergio was 1,125 miles (1,810 kilometers) west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula and taking its 125 mph (205 kph) winds further out to sea. Along with the unseasonably warm air, dry Saturday and mostly dry with a few showers Sunday. Weather Underground said some models show the storm could strengthen to a hurricane before landfall.
The South Florida Water Management District said the system should be in the Gulf of Mexico by Monday, and regardless of its track, an increase of rains for South Florida, "some potentially significant", could begin early in the week.
The area in red indicates where this system is likely to develop. A motion toward the north is expected during the next couple of days.
Satellite data, surface observations, and radar data from Belize indicate that an area of low pressure is centered over the northwestern Caribbean Sea east of northern Belize.
The center's storm tracking shows it in southern Alabama by 1 p.m. Wednesday before veering northeast into all of Georgia and SC, eastern Tennessee and all but the eastern coastal end of North Carolina. The system is also forecast to become a tropical storm by Sunday night and tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of western Cuba where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect.
"Residents and others with interests along the central or northeastern Gulf Coast should closely monitor the progress of the storm", Accuweather said in a forecast tonight. However, it's worth noting that the Caribbean is usually a favorable location for tropical cyclone origins in October, and historically, when they move into the Gulf of Mexico, more than half of them cross the Florida peninsula.