Tropical Storm Kirk strong as it nears Barbados, St. Lucia

  • by Brittany Mendoza
  • in Research
  • — Sep 28, 2018
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After being downgraded late Monday morning thanks to no longer containing a closed center of circulation, Kirk is once again a tropical storm this morning. Kirk was moving west at 18 miles per hour.

A tropical storm warning is now in effect for Barbados, Dominica, St. Lucia, Martinique and Guadeloupe.

The system continues to move towards the west at near 18 mph (30 km/h), and on this track, the centre of Kirk is expected to pass about 50 miles to the north of Barbados between Thursday morning and Thursday afternoon.

The complex area of low pressure that includes what's left of Subtropical Storm Leslie is organizing in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.

According to the Barbados Meteorological Services, sustained surface winds of between 25 to 35 miles per hour with gusts to storm force are expected to spread across Barbados starting later tonight and persisting into tomorrow.

While current projections have Kirk dissipating before approaching south Florida (thanks to that wind shear) when a tropical system approaches the Caribbean sea, we need to watch it. It has a 90 percent chance of development in the next five days. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning area by Thursday afternoon, making outside preparations hard or risky.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. It could regain sub-tropical storm status later this week.

"Kirk is expected to produce total rainfall of 4 to 6 inches across the northern Windward and southern Leeward Islands with isolated maximum totals up to 10 inches across Martinique and Dominica", according to the NHC. The NHC said these rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

But post-tropical cyclones can continue to carry heavy rains and high winds.

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